Re: [Nolug] NOLUG meeting this Thursday (16 September, 2004)

Word on campus was that they would look at it today. No announcements
yet. My gut feeling is that they will close tomorrow sfternoon, since
now the storm is predicted to most likely hit Buras, LA. UNO tends to
close early and often to give students/faculty/staff ample preparation time.

I've been watching this oen for a while and they are admitting that the
track to FL may be unrealistic, but they're reluctant to shift it for
some reason.

 From http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 13 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT THU SEP 16 2004

LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E

23.2N 86.5W 40 X X X 40 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 8 9
25.2N 87.4W 2 25 1 X 28 ST MARKS FL X X 1 10 11
27.2N 87.7W X 10 11 1 22 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 10 13
MUSN 216N 826W 14 X X 1 15 PANAMA CITY FL X X 4 10 14
MUHA 230N 824W 1 1 1 1 4 PENSACOLA FL X X 4 11 15
MUAN 219N 850W 66 X X X 66 MOBILE AL X X 5 10 15
MMCZ 205N 869W 26 X X 1 27 GULFPORT MS X X 6 10 16
MMMD 210N 897W 1 X X 1 2 BURAS LA X X 12 5 17
MARATHON FL X X 1 2 3 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 8 8 16
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 NEW IBERIA LA X X 5 8 13
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 7 8
FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X 1 5 6
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 FREEPORT TX X X 1 3 4
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 5 5 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 6 6 GULF 29N 85W X X 6 8 14
SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 87W X X 12 6 18
CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X 4 14 3 21
KEY WEST FL X 1 1 2 4 GULF 28N 91W X 2 11 4 17
MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 93W X X 6 4 10
FT MYERS FL X X 2 4 6 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 3 4
VENICE FL X X 2 6 8 GULF 27N 96W X X X 2 2
TAMPA FL X X 2 6 8

COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
C FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
D FROM 8AM WED TO 8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART

--
Alex McKenzie     alex@boxchain.com     http://www.boxchain.com
"Our enemies are innovative and resourceful, and so are we. They never 
stop thinking about new ways to harm our country and our people, and 
neither do we." -- George W. Bush
Lady: There are thousands of people like you with no disearnable talent.
Homer: Yeah, they're called congress! HEHE
Manuel Lora wrote:
> Yeah and they won't decide till wednesday probably anyway.
> 
> On Monday 13 September 2004 11:34 am, -ray wrote:
> 
>>Wait and see if UNO closes on thursday.  If so they might not even let
>>you on campus...
>>
>>ray
>>
>>On Mon, 13 Sep 2004, Wimprine, Thomas wrote:
>>
>>>Are you suggesting we cancel?
>>>
>>>-----Original Message-----
>>>From: owner-nolug@joeykelly.net [mailto:owner-nolug@joeykelly.net] On
>>>Behalf Of Manuel Lora
>>>Sent: Monday, September 13, 2004 11:20 AM
>>>To: nolug@joeykelly.net
>>>Subject: Re: [Nolug] NOLUG meeting this Thursday (16 September, 2004)
>>>
>>>Heh. That could be hurricane day :)
>>>
>>>http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm9/projectedpath_large.html
>>>
>>>
>>>ml
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